All the pieces you want to know in regards to the three Thanksgiving video games, together with the brand new Black Friday NFL recreation, is included under. Josh Larky, Ryan Reynoldsand Jordan Vanek element matchups to contemplate when watching and betting on the video games, together with who needs to be in your DFS participant pool.
All through, you’ll be capable to construct an Underdog Fantasy Decide ‘Em entry with the blokes, whereas additionally following together with Reynolds’ three-leg teaser.
This text was tailored from The thirty third Staff’s Thanksgiving podcast.
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Thanksgiving Slate
Packers at Lions
Key accidents: RB Aaron Jones
Underdog HIGH/LOW Entry: Jordan Love HIGHER Than 33.5 Go Makes an attempt
Ryan’s Thanksgiving Teaser Leg: Lions +2.5
High DFS Choices: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, RB David Montgomery, WR Romeo Doubs
Packers on Offense
We now have minimal confidence within the Inexperienced Bay Packers offense. Detroit’s go rush can beat up on the Packers’ weaker offensive line. For DFS, all of the Packers gamers are straightforward to play if you wish to save wage, with Romeo Doubs being the costliest. Nevertheless, that’s for good motive. Detroit runs two defensive coverages greater than 70 p.c of the time: Cowl 4 and Cowl 3 Sky, and Doubs has 30 p.c and 33 p.c goal shares, respectively, in opposition to these coverages.
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Lions on Offense
The Detroit Lions have one of the best offensive line in soccer, and Inexperienced Bay has a comparatively weak run protection — David Montgomery could possibly be in for a giant day. Detroit is top-five within the league in passing and dashing, highlighting its balanced offense.
Austin Ekeler had a few carries vs. the Packers final week the place he would have scored lengthy touchdowns if he had Jahmyr Gibbs’ velocity. You may get away with enjoying each Lions RBs in the identical DFS lineup on this three-game slate.
TE Sam LaPorta has slowed down lately, in all probability on account of each of Detroit’s RBs getting wholesome, together with the presence of not simply WR Amon-Ra St. Brown however Jameson Williams’ elevated involvement. Final week, Chargers WR Quentin Johnston bought open deep, and Williams ought to be capable to do the identical. He may catch a protracted landing and aid you get totally different on the DFS slate. If he can return from damage, Packers CB Jaire Alexander may shadow St. Brown.
General, we don’t have an excessive amount of curiosity in QB Jared Goff for DFS as a result of it’s too straightforward for the Lions to win on the bottom. With simply three days to recreation plan for this matchup, Detroit possible will hold it easy with the run recreation. Goff may have 200 yards and one or two touchdowns, which shouldn’t break the slate.
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Commanders at Cowboys
Unfold: Cowboys -11
Whole: 48.5
Key accidents: None
Underdog HIGH/LOW Entry: Brandin Cooks HIGHER Than 34.5 Receiving Yards
Ryan’s Thanksgiving Teaser Leg: Cowboys -1
High DFS Choices: QB Dak Prescott, QB Sam Howell, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR Brandin Cooks, WR Michael Gallup, WR Terry McLaurin, Cowboys DST
Commanders on Offense
The Dallas Cowboys’ go rush has an enormous trench benefit right here, and Sam Howell may take 5 or extra sacks. If Howell has time, the Washington Commanders’ talent group is nice and deep. Dallas ought to give the Commanders loads of Cowl 1 Man and Cowl 4 (stop protection, as soon as they’ve the lead). Terry McLaurin has the expertise to separate from the Cowboys’ cornerbacks after they’re in man protection.
Cowboys on Offense
Dallas’ pass-centric offense ought to thrive after what we noticed from Tommy DeVito and firm final week. Dak Prescott will face one of many NFL’s worst general defensive unites, so 400 yards and a number of touchdowns are in play. The Commanders have a very good inside defensive duo, however they haven’t any edge rush now that Chase Younger (49ers) and Montez Sweat (Bears) had been traded.
The Commanders persistently quit large performs on go-routes. Prescott and CeeDee Lamb needs to be the beginning stack for DFS, after which the double stack can come along with Michael Gallup or Jalen Tolbert, the 2 auxiliary Dallas receivers who run go-routes. Gallup has 21 p.c of the group’s go-route targets.
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49ers at Seahawks
Unfold: Seahawks +6.5
Whole: 43
Key accidents: QB Geno Smith, RB Kenneth Walker
Underdog HIGH/LOW Entry: Christian McCaffrey LOWER Than 74.5 Dashing Yards
Ryan’s Thanksgiving Teaser Leg: 49ers +3.5
High DFS Choices: QB Brock Purdy, WR Brandon Aiyuk, WR DK Metcalf, TE George Kittle, 49ers’ DST
49ers on Offense
The Seattle Seahawks go rush is a middling and uninspiring group, and Brock Purdy needs to be closely featured in your DFS participant pool. The San Francisco 49ers can beat you in too some ways, and whereas the Seahawks’ secondary has been strong if their entrance can’t generate a lot strain, it will likely be a protracted day for Seattle followers. General, it’s powerful to see the 49ers scoring fewer than 24 factors.
The Seahawks in all probability will play Cowl 3 to comprise RB Christian McCaffrey. Nevertheless, the 49ers like when groups go together with Cowl 3 as a result of Brandon Aiyuk has been so dominant this season in these 1-on-1 conditions on the skin. You need to usually stack Purdy with Aiyuk, and George Kittle is the popular double-stack choice. Kittle’s utilization has been ticking up, and he’s been wholesome and explosive lately.
Deebo Samuel is ok to rotate in, however he might have extra issues to go proper to blow up — like a trick play. McCaffrey will possible be in 50-60 p.c of peoples’ DFS lineups, and he’s a scary fade. It is a scenario the place we must always in all probability are available under the sphere on publicity to him for this DFS slate to get totally different. We might be focusing extra on the 49ers’ passing recreation for our DFS participant pool.
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Seahawks on Offense
Drew Lock in opposition to San Francisco’s go rush is terrifying. The 49ers’ DST is a superb DFS play. RB Zach Charbonnet might get some fantasy factors on account of check-downs whereas Lock is underneath strain. However, it’s powerful to see a giant ceiling from him as a result of the 49ers haven’t blitzed greater than 4 males fairly often since Chase Younger joined the group. Younger paired with Nick Bosa may be the defensive model of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, the place it’s an unimaginable tandem for groups to correctly account for many weeks.
Lock has a giant arm and we must always count on to see a couple of deep photographs to DK Metcalf. Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba have a extra uphill battle to make you pay while you depart them out of your DFS lineups. Metcalf can enter your lineups with authority on only a couple large performs. The limiting issue when inserting Metcalf into your lineup is will the Seahawks’ offensive line maintain as much as the 49ers’ strain.
Black Friday Recreation
Dolphins at Jets
Unfold: Jets +10
Whole: 41
Dolphins on Offense
The Miami Dolphins are a rhythm offense, and the New York Jets can strain them and disrupt their timing. The Dolphins’ offense might be way more enjoyable to look at than the Jets’. Whereas the Jets’ go protection is elite, their run protection has been beatable, so the Miami working backs may have a strong day.
For DFS showdown, Jaylen Waddle is the popular Dolphins receiver, however Tyreek Hill shouldn’t be light. Miami will win by a number of scores if Waddle will get going.
Jets on Offense
QB Tim Boyle is a possible downgrade from Zach Wilson. Backup QB Trevor Siemian may take reps later on this recreation on account of Boyle’s poor play. Miami’s protection is ascending, and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio’s scheme has labored properly lately. The Dolphins have a top quality go rush, which carried them final week in opposition to the Raiders.
RB Breece Corridor and WR Garrett Wilson are the 2 greatest Jets for showdown, and every ought to get tons of labor. WR/KR Xavier Gipson is the way in which to get totally different in DFS as a result of the Jets may give him a few display screen passes and see if he homes one.
Miami CB Jalen Ramsey is enjoying like one of the best nook in soccer proper now, and the sneakiest showdown captain right here is the Dolphins DST.
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Reynolds’ Thanksgiving Teaser
Reynolds doesn’t do loads of motion betting, however he does play a three-leg teaser each Thanksgiving. Basically, he would like to play some underdogs in one of these teaser, however that is the way in which he sees it. Vanek says that the Commanders have one of the best shot for an upset this Thanksgiving, and Reynolds and Larky agree.
Ryan’s The thirty third Staff Thanksgiving Teaser Document: 1-0
